Junction City, Kansas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

436
FXUS63 KTOP 102025
AFDTOP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Topeka KS
225 PM CST Sun Nov 10 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Slightly above normal temperatures expected this week with highs
  in the 60s.

- Chance (30-40%) for rain Tuesday night into Wednesday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 225 PM CST Sun Nov 10 2024

This afternoon a midlevel wave was moving across Wisconsin with a
zonal flow noted across the central Plains. Some low to mid level
moisture and associated clouds across eastern Nebraska was moving
southeast into northeast Kansas at 19Z.

For tonight, any clouds moving southeast across northeast Kansas
will dissipate early this evening. Winds become light westerly this
evening. The combination of light to calm winds and clear skies will
lead to some patchy fog development later tonight into early Monday
morning. Lows tonight cool into the upper 30s to lower 40s.

A weak surface boundary moves across northeast and east central
Kansas on Veterans Day with winds shifting to the northeast behind
it. Temperatures look to warm into the 60s as some southerly return
flow begins in the afternoon. 850mb temps look to increase near 10C
in central Kansas to around 8C in northeast Kansas in the afternoon
and forecast soundings show mixing from near 850 mb.

The next chance (30-440%) for showers and a few storms returns
Tuesday night into Wednesday as a mid level wave moves acrioss the
Plains. Deterministic models have come into better agreement with
the location and timing of the system. Precipitation stilll looks to
linger in northeast and east central Kansas Wednesday afternoon and
should end in the morning in central and north central Kansas. A
cold front moves across the cwa from northwest to southeast
Wednesday morning. Models show the mid level trough over far eastern
Kansas by Wednesday afternoon. Highs remain in the 60s Tuesday, then
in the 50s and 60s on Wednesday.

Heights rise across the Plains on Thursday as a mid level ridge,
then flow becomes southwesterly Friday into the weekend.
Temperatures warm back into the 60s through this period. Dry weather
is expected through Saturday with precipitation chances 20% or less
returning next Sunday. Timing and variablility of this system will
likely change in the coming days.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 1107 AM CST Sun Nov 10 2024

VFR conditions are expected through the period. Winds west
northwest around 10kts, decreasing to less than 10kts by 23Z and
backing to the west.

&&

.TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...53
AVIATION...53